capital

Loan Repayment – Financial Planning When it Comes to Getting a Bank Loan

Approaching a bank for a loan can be beneficial especially when you need capital to invest in a worthwhile project.

Unless you have the capability of paying back, getting a loan can prove to be quite a financial disaster. Therefore, before acquiring a loan, make sure you have the required income to be able to repay the loan.

It is prudent to plan before taking a loan. For example, taking a loan to invest in the stock market can prove to be quite trick considering that trading in stocks is speculative. Though in business you need to take risks, it is also advisable to mitigate those risks.

When going for a loan, it is imperative to also consider the interest rates and whether your monthly income can afford to service the same. In addition, take into consideration the additional cost or penalties incurred in late payments or even early loan repayment.

Take a scenario where you are planning to buy a car that your income cannot afford to mange. I would urge you to reconsider and halt taking that loan, since it can easily drive you into serious debts. I am not discouraging you from getting a car loan, but what would be the point if you are unable to repay the loan? Realize that a car is a liability and its value depreciates with time.

Taking a loan to invest in an asset like building a rental house is advisable, since with such an investment you can have a steady cash flow to help you repay the loan. With a house you can also be sure its value will appreciate with time.

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Background to and Impact of the New Basel Capital Accord – Basel II

The first Basel Capital Accord was introduced in 1988, featuring recommendations for banks in setting aside sufficient capital against their claims, and was adopted in a regulatory capacity by ‘Group of Ten’ member countries in 1992 along with a great number more over subsequent years.

Basel I was produced by the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision in response to concerns that financial institutions in general were not maintaining adequate capital and required that banks hold 8% of risk weighted assets – which were in turn categorized in percentile terms as to perceptions of the risk that they carried, e.g. 0% for loans to government, and 100% for loans to the commercial arena.

Basel I for the most part encouraged banks to consider capital adequacy against the credit risk underlying their book of loans, i.e. the risk of failure by borrowers to fulfill repayment obligations. A later amendment in 1996 introduced a new emphasis on market risk, i.e. the risk of fluctuations in the value of investments.

The new Basel Capital Accord was published in 2004 following rigorous consultation with supervisors, and significantly revised the first effort. Basel II consists of three reinforcing pillars: the first concerned with capital requirements against credit, market and operational risk; the second outlining the processes surrounding governance and supervision of bank capital; and the third imposing new disclosure requirements upon financial institutions to aid market discipline and transparency.

Basel II brought about a migration away from the first Accord’s simplistic assessment of bank risks towards a more holistic approach across a spectrum of risks and with a range of methodologies to calculate exposures. For instance banks can choose from three approaches in calculating capital requirements against both credit and operational risk, the intention being alignment with their expertise and size, and in turn risk management capabilities.

The chief reason for development of Basel II was the realization that financial markets and products were advancing rapidly both in terms of modern complexity and scale – particularly given the effects of globalization. In turn, more comprehensive and robust regulation was required to manage this evolution, a framework that recognized capital requirements more intelligently.

Indeed, it is the risk sensitive nature of Basel II that distinguishes it particularly from its predecessor. Whereas the first Accord assessed capital requirements against risk from a very one dimensional perspective, Basel II not only introduced new risks, but removed restrictive debtor categorizations that didn’t truly reflect the associated risk of a claim. Rather than calculating the capital to be ring-fenced based upon type of entity, personalized ratings could now be utilized – internal or external dependent upon approach – so that ‘capital requirements should drop substantially at a bank with a prime business portfolio’ (KPMG, 2004:3).

However commentators have questioned whether the more sophisticated capital adequacy calculations detailed under Basel II have truly added value to risk management in the banking sector, claiming that legislation has given banks a ‘strong incentive to employ the most advanced risk management techniques’ (ERisk, 2005:5).

One of the principal objectives of the first Accord was to increase capital across the industry, an aim inherited by Basel II, though Adair Turner’s recent FSA review concluded that significant capital increases are required globally.

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Questions have also been raised as to whether Basel II places an over-reliance upon external credit rating agencies within its most simplistic model for calculation of capital adequacy, in effect encouraging banks to outsource their management of risk. Basel proponents would argue that the framework allows for more advanced methodologies which take account of relevant, tailored data garnered by the banks themselves – therefore removing the requirement for external ratings.

The Basel Committee based much rationale for their decision to release updated recommendation upon Basel I’s limited (albeit positive as far as it went) scope. Where the first Accord outlined a basic analysis of credit risk and later market risk, these were both refined in Basel II, along with the introduction of consideration for operational risk, defined as, ‘the risk of loss resulting from inadequate or failed internal processes, people and systems or from external events’ (Basel, 2006:144).

Banks were encouraged under Basel II to consider not only the credit and market risks that can arguably be controlled more effectively through expert underwriting and asset management, but also this wider operational bracket which had thus far been neglected in terms of direct allocation of capital. Operational risk was considered particularly pertinent due to the prevalence of those loss events considered low frequency, high impact in the sector.

Another major reason for introduction of Basel II was the perceived need for promotion of sound corporate governance within banks and of purposeful supervision alongside such efforts – highlighted in the creation of the second pillar. Basel Committee members realized that capital adequacy regulation is only meaningful insofar as it is conveyed appropriately and assessed independently, so as to encourage good practice in firms from the top down, and develop cultures of accountability. The second pillar introduces the intention ‘to ensure that banks have adequate capital to support all the risks in their business’ (Basel, 2006:204).

This principle implies an enterprise approach to risk for senior manager and supervisor alike, particularly important for the larger international banks with wide ranging operations, who can pose systemic risks to the economy given the nature of their businesses.

Although the premise behind the second pillar should clearly add value to risk management in banking, this is contingent not only upon skilled board members and senior managers in implementing adequate controls and asking challenging questions of their businesses, but the concept is also highly reliant upon strong supervision by the relevant authorities.

Basel II’s third pillar indicates another important reason for the revised Accord’s implementation: support for heightened transparency across financial markets and ‘market discipline through enhanced disclosure by banks’ (KPMG, 2004:5).

Given the broad range of stakeholders to whom banks are ultimately answerable – from depositors and shareholders to employees and regulators – and in light of the impact that these institutions can have upon not only the financial but also the real economy, it’s imperative that their risk profile and associated controls can be assessed with readily available information. The third pillar’s implications were particularly resonant given the new freedom afforded to banks in deciding their approach to capital adequacy and risk management.

Whilst the introduction of the third pillar is understandable and suggests particular benefits for key stakeholders, it is not clear whether the increased provision of information surrounding risk management in the banking sector has actually aided market discipline. The FSA’s recent review of the financial crisis contends that ‘a strong case can be made that the events of the last five years have illustrated the inadequacy of market discipline’ (Turner, 2009:45).

It is suggested that the revised Accord doesn’t go far enough in developing disclosure of bank risk management capabilities and exposures, particularly with regards the complex credit models that grew in popularity leading up to the credit crunch.

Aside from the central aims underlined across the new Accord’s three pillars, another motive for Basel II’s establishment was the fact that banks had began to develop more sophisticated internal control systems, which could be leveraged to support new capital adequacy regulation.

In effect, supervisors acknowledged that value could be gained by allowing banks to utilize their legacy information systems in gauging the risks posed by particular clients or transactions, rather than relying on futile assumptions of broad categorizations where a debtor very near bankruptcy could in theory be treated exactly the same as one with excellent creditworthiness.

Basel II introduced a number of benefits in strengthening risk management across the banking sector, including provision for more accurate depictions of capital requirements, alongside demanding disclosure obligations to dissuade improper behavior in financial institutions.

However whilst the revised Accord – like its predecessor – was applauded initially as a welcome development, it too has become subject to challenge, perhaps even more so than the original Accord given the unprecedented events that have unfolded over the past three years.

It seems unlikely that Basel II will be scrapped absolutely, given that even its most ardent critics admit to its qualities, but further revisions to the recommendations are certain. An interesting point to note is that financial markets consistently appear to advance ahead of their regulations, deeming subsequent responses very much reactive – a signal perhaps that greater attention should be focused upon endowing greater resources to the supervisory authorities.

Blame for the recent financial crisis cannot be attributed wholly to the new Accord or indeed to supervision in general, but the Basel Committee’s recent proposals for enhancement of the framework are certainly welcome.

Of particular concern should be emphasis upon calculation of capital requirements for complex credit products, and heightened rules as to utilization of both internal and external credit ratings. The chairman of the Basel Committee stated that there are ‘no quick-fix, simple measures or ratios that will achieve our objective… but the market turmoil has already provided some important lessons that will help guide the Basel committee in further strengthening the framework’ (Wellink, 2008).

Whether or not global authorities will accept the Basel Committee’s reading of the crisis as merely an exercise in lessons learnt or not remains to be seen.

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Investing For Small Business

Whether a sole-proprietorship, partnership, or a limited liability corporation, all small business owners know that they are already investors in their own business.

With so much involved in the day-to-day operations of running a business, many small business owners place investing in the back of their minds. However, this can be a dangerous way to operate. After all, when you’re the boss, you’re also in charge of your own retirement plan and in finding ways to reinvest in the company without damaging the capital you’ve already built.

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Here are a few key tips in small business investing:

  1. Your business is part of your portfolio.

When deciding on an investment strategy for your small business, do not neglect to consider your business as a part of your investment portfolio, since you may be able to tap into some of your existing equity or value in order to make new gains.

  1. Tone down the entrepreneur.

When considering your investment strategy for your small business, consider risk. While the entrepreneurial spirit can make a person a successful business owner, it may also make them a horrible investor by encouraging them to take on too much risk. Slow down and understand when and where to be aggressive in your investments.

  1. Strategize for capital preservation.

While your personal portfolio may be built around simple growth, your small business investment portfolio should strategize for capital accumulation and preservation. That way, when lean economic times come, your small business can lean on its portfolio to help generate income.

  1. Diversify outside your business.

Small business owners may want to invest in their industry; after all, it is the industry they know best. But try to avoid putting all of your investments in one industry. If the industry falls on hard times, your business and your portfolio will both take a beating.

  1. Allocate your assets.

It may be tempting to put all of your money in one place, but you need to properly allocate your assets to make them work for you. Stocks can make you a lot of money in the long term but can be risky short term; bonds are less volatile than stocks but also have a lesser yield, and cash in the form of savings and money market accounts do not earn much in comparison. Talk to a financial planner about properly allocating your assets to make your money work best for you and your goals.

6.  Talking with a financial planner.

This is probably one of the most important you can make. When making decisions on how to build your small business investment portfolio, consult someone who is as good as his or her job as you are at yours. Your financial planner can look at your business, manage risk, and help you to define goals that make sense for your business. Talking to a financial planner will ensure that you create an investment portfolio that makes good financial sense now and for the future.

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Is there a Capital Shortage? I Think Not.

The US government is executing a coup d’état of capitalism and I fear that we will pay the price for many years to come.  Hank Paulson, Ben Bernanke and a host of others tell us the credit market is not working and the only way to get it working again is for the government to intervene.  They claim this intervention is urgently needed and if we don’t act, the consequences are dire.  Dire, as in New Depression dire.  Have these supposed experts on capitalism forgotten how it really works?

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Last week Goldman Sachs raised $10 billion in new capital in one day.  They sold $5 billion in preferred stock and warrants to Berkshire Hathaway and also completed a secondary offering of common stock that raised another $5 billion.  Friday, JP Morgan raised $10 billion in a secondary offering to help pay for the Washington Mutual takeunder.  Both of these offerings were oversubscribed, meaning that the companies could have raised more capital if they wanted.  There is not a shortage of capital for well run financial companies.

There is however, a shortage of capital for companies that have acted irresponsibly with investor’s capital in the recent past.  For some reason, our political leaders believe this is a failure of the market, but isn’t this what should be expected from rational investors?  Given a choice, why would a rational investor allocate limited capital to the losers rather than the winners?  If capital is really as scarce as it seems, isn’t it better for our economy if we make sure that it is allocated wisely?

The biggest bank failure in the history of the United States happened last Thursday night and by Friday morning, it was business as usual.  The only difference was the name on the door and the losses suffered by those unfortunate enough to invest in Washington Mutual bonds or stock.  The taxpayers didn’t lose anything and depositors didn’t lose anything, only investors.  That is how capitalism works in case everyone has forgotten.

The “crisis” we face today is not a creation of the market.  Government intervention over many years (but especially the last year) is what brought us to the point where we’ve placed our hopes for economic recovery on the good intentions of a Congress facing re-election in a few weeks.  There has been much commentary recently about the role of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac in the creation and expansion of the sub-prime mortgage market which many believe to be the cause of this mess.  That criticism is certainly warranted, but little attention has been paid to the real culprit – the Federal Reserve.

Furthermore, what attention there has been is concentrated on the role of Alan Greenspan rather than Ben Bernanke. While Alan Greenspan deserves his share of the blame, Bernanke’s contribution to this mess should not be minimized or excused.

Bernanke obviously does not trust the market to sort the winners from the losers.  When this erupted last year, the Fed lowered interest rates, including the discount rate, which is the rate charged by the Fed to lend directly to banks.  There has always been a stigma attached to borrowing directly from the Fed and for good reason. If a bank can’t get other banks to lend it money, that tells the market something about the condition of the bank in question.

Last August, Bernanke convinced three large banks to borrow at the discount window in an effort to remove that stigma.  When that didn’t work, he concocted a scheme to allow banks to borrow from the Fed in anonymity via a mechanism he called the Term Auction Facility. When Bear Stearns blew up, he added the Term Securities Lending Facility for investment banks.  By removing the stigma of borrowing from the Fed and hiding the identity of the borrowers, Bernanke removed important information from the market.

Now we face a situation where banks are not willing to lend to each other and have therefore become dependent on the Fed for daily liquidity. This is a direct result of the Fed’s actions.  Banks will not lend to each other because they don’t know which ones are really in trouble.  The rise in inter-bank lending rates is a rational market response to a lack of information.  Furthermore, why pay those inter-bank rates when the Fed or ECB is offering easier terms?

These opaque lending facilities are just part of the problem created by the Fed and Treasury.  The Bear Stearns intervention started the process by raising expectations that the government would step in and broker deals that would normally be left to the private sector.  By providing favorable terms to JP Morgan in the deal, private actors came to see an advantage in waiting to see if the Fed would provide similar terms again.  The worry at the time was that a Bear Stearns failure would cause a collapse of the system, but after watching Lehman Brothers file bankruptcy one has to wonder if that worry was based on fear or facts.  Lehman filed bankruptcy on a Sunday night and the market opened the next day and functioned as it should.  Would a Bear bankruptcy have been different?  We will never know, but I have my doubts.

Now markets are waiting on pins and needles as the politicians haggle over the details of the latest bailout attempt by the Fed and Treasury.  This has introduced another roadblock to the re-capitalization and reorganization of the financial industry.  Companies that are in need of capital are waiting to see if the plan will bail them out of their difficulties.  If Hank Paulson is willing to pay an above market price for their bad loans, why should they dilute their equity now?  Why not wait until they can offload the bad paper on the taxpayer and raise capital at a better price?  Why take Tony Soprano terms when Uncle Sam is willing to let the taxpayer take the hit for you?

If this bailout goes ahead in its current form and the Treasury pays a high enough price to recapitalize the troubled banks, what has been accomplished?  The plan may be enough to induce the banking sector to start lending again, although frankly, I don’t know why we would want institutions who have shown such poor judgment in the past to stay in that business.  This plan short circuits the capitalist model which would allow the stronger, well run institutions to gain market share and/or expand profit margins.  The long term effect will be to lower the overall return on capital in the financial services industry.

The government apparently believes that the key to economic recovery is to allocate limited resources in an inefficient manner.  Does that make sense?

Paulson and Bernanke have testified to Congress that the market for the mortgage paper rotting on the balance sheets of bad banks is not working.  They have not offered an explanation of why that market is not functioning except to blame the complicated nature of some of the securities.  That explanation begs the question of how exactly the Treasury believes it will be any better at deciphering the mortgage market.  A more logical explanation is not a lack of willing buyers, but a lack of willing sellers.  The Fed has allowed institutions to use collateral of ever falling quality to secure loans from the Fed.  If a bank can finance its activities through the Fed and keep the bad loans on the balance sheet, what incentive does it have to sell?  Selling will reveal the true condition of the company and will also force other institutions to do the same under mark to market accounting.  The Fed is the one keeping the market from functioning.  The Treasury does not need to enter the market for it to start functioning; the Fed needs to leave the market.

Paulson has said that the cause of the current problems is the housing deflation, but that ignores the elephant in the living room.  The housing bubble, which was concentrated in a relatively small number of states, was caused by the reckless actions of the Greenspan Fed. The consequences of that bubble have been exacerbated by the Bernanke Fed.  The market is functioning as it should.  It is the Fed that is not functioning correctly.  There is no reason we had to go through either the bubble or the aftermath.  We got into this mess because we tried to avoid the consequences of the internet bubble.  We will only make things worse by trying to avoid the consequences of the housing bubble.

We are not on the verge of a new depression.  The housing bubble collapse in California, Florida and a few other states is not enough to bring down the entire banking system. Investors who made mistakes in these markets should be held responsible and those who navigated the Fed-distorted market should be rewarded for their wisdom and prudence.

Enacting the Paulson plan will not allow that to happen and our economy will suffer for it in the long run.  The Japanese tried to prop up failed banks in the aftermath of the bursting of their twin bubbles and the result was 15 years of stagnation.  Why are we emulating a strategy that is a demonstrable failure?  A better alternative would be to allow capitalism to work as it should and stop the interventions of the Fed in the money market.

Trust capitalism.  It works.

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